{"id":247,"date":"2026-07-03T00:36:58","date_gmt":"2026-07-02T19:36:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/?post_type=community-post&#038;p=247"},"modified":"2026-07-03T00:39:18","modified_gmt":"2026-07-02T19:39:18","slug":"soft-nfp-and-dovish-waller-weigh-on-usd","status":"publish","type":"community-post","link":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/community-post\/soft-nfp-and-dovish-waller-weigh-on-usd\/","title":{"rendered":"Soft NFP and Dovish Waller Weigh on USD"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">June NFP print 57k vs 114k forecast, plus 43k downward revision, flipping the recent upside surprise theme<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Unemployment dipped to 4.2% and AHE held at 0.3% m\/m, soft not catastrophic, so risk sentiment stayed stable while USD got sold<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>USDJPY fell under 160.70 on data alone, easing pressure on Tokyo to enter the market. Stronger data would have put MoF intervention back on traders\u2019 radar<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dollar weakness actually started hours earlier after Governor Waller sounded more dovish in Sintra, highlighting cooler inflation.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Waller dodged guidance on the July meeting and QT pace, keeping policy uncertainty high and capping the greenback.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Soft labor data and dovish Fed comments have weakened the USD significantly.Only one soft job strength won&#8217;t be able to change the extremely bullish picture of the USD, yet it might be the base of a range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div dir=\"rtl\" style=\"text-align: right;\">\n\u2022 \u062c\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u06cc\u06ba <b>NFP<\/b> \u0635\u0631\u0641 57k \u0622\u06cc\u0627\u060c \u062c\u0628\u06a9\u06c1 forecast 114k \u062a\u06be\u0627\u060c \u0627\u0648\u0631 \u0633\u0627\u062a\u06be 43k \u06a9\u06cc downward revision \u0628\u06be\u06cc \u06c1\u0648\u0626\u06cc\u06d4 \u0627\u0633 \u0633\u06d2 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u06cc\u06c1 upside surprise \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627 \u0631\u062c\u062d\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0679 \u06af\u06cc\u0627\u06d4\n<br><br>\n\u2022 <b>Unemployment<\/b> \u06a9\u0645 \u06c1\u0648 \u06a9\u0631 4.2% \u067e\u0631 \u0622 \u06af\u0626\u06cc \u0627\u0648\u0631 <b>AHE<\/b> 0.3% m\/m \u067e\u0631 \u0628\u0631\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0631\u06c1\u06cc\u06d4 \u06cc\u0639\u0646\u06cc \u0688\u06cc\u0679\u0627 \u0646\u0631\u0645 \u062a\u06be\u0627 \u0645\u06af\u0631 \u062a\u0628\u0627\u06c1 \u06a9\u0646 \u0646\u06c1\u06cc\u06ba\u060c \u0627\u0633\u06cc \u0644\u06cc\u06d2 risk sentiment \u06a9\u0627\u0641\u06cc \u062d\u062f \u062a\u06a9 stable \u0631\u06c1\u0627\u060c \u062c\u0628\u06a9\u06c1 <b>USD<\/b> \u0645\u06cc\u06ba selling \u062f\u06cc\u06a9\u06be\u0646\u06d2 \u06a9\u0648 \u0645\u0644\u06cc\u06d4\n<br><br>\n\u2022 \u0688\u06cc\u0679\u0627 \u06a9\u06d2 \u0641\u0648\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0628\u0639\u062f <b>USDJPY<\/b> 160.70 \u0633\u06d2 \u0646\u06cc\u0686\u06d2 \u0622 \u06af\u06cc\u0627\u060c \u062c\u0633 \u0633\u06d2 \u0679\u0648\u06a9\u06cc\u0648 \u067e\u0631 market \u0645\u06cc\u06ba \u0622\u0646\u06d2 \u06a9\u0627 \u062f\u0628\u0627\u0624 \u06a9\u0686\u06be \u06a9\u0645 \u06c1\u0648\u0627\u06d4 \u0627\u06af\u0631 \u0688\u06cc\u0679\u0627 \u0632\u06cc\u0627\u062f\u06c1 strong \u0622\u062a\u0627 \u062a\u0648 <b>MoF intervention<\/b> \u062f\u0648\u0628\u0627\u0631\u06c1 traders \u06a9\u06cc radar \u067e\u0631 \u0622 \u062c\u0627\u062a\u0627\u06d4\n<br><br>\n\u2022 \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0635\u0644 dollar \u06a9\u06cc \u06a9\u0645\u0632\u0648\u0631\u06cc \u0686\u0646\u062f \u06af\u06be\u0646\u0679\u06d2 \u067e\u06c1\u0644\u06d2 \u06c1\u06cc \u0634\u0631\u0648\u0639 \u06c1\u0648 \u06af\u0626\u06cc \u062a\u06be\u06cc\u060c \u062c\u0628 \u06af\u0648\u0631\u0646\u0631 <b>Waller<\/b> \u0646\u06d2 Sintra \u0645\u06cc\u06ba \u0646\u0633\u0628\u062a\u0627\u064b \u0632\u06cc\u0627\u062f\u06c1 dovish \u0628\u0627\u062a \u06a9\u06cc \u0627\u0648\u0631 cooler inflation \u06a9\u0648 highlight \u06a9\u06cc\u0627\u06d4\n<br><br>\n\u2022 \u062c\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0626\u06cc \u06a9\u06cc meeting \u0627\u0648\u0631 <b>QT pace<\/b> \u06a9\u06d2 \u0628\u0627\u0631\u06d2 \u0645\u06cc\u06ba <b>Waller<\/b> \u0646\u06d2 \u0635\u0627\u0641 guidance \u062f\u06cc\u0646\u06d2 \u0633\u06d2 \u06af\u0631\u06cc\u0632 \u06a9\u06cc\u0627\u060c \u062c\u0633 \u0633\u06d2 policy uncertainty \u0628\u0644\u0646\u062f \u0631\u06c1\u06cc \u0627\u0648\u0631 greenback \u062f\u0628\u0627\u0624 \u0645\u06cc\u06ba \u0631\u06c1\u0627\u06d4\n<br><br>\n\u2022 \u0646\u0631\u0645 labor data \u0627\u0648\u0631 dovish <b>Fed<\/b> comments \u0646\u06d2 <b>USD<\/b> \u06a9\u0648 \u062e\u0627\u0635\u0627 \u06a9\u0645\u0632\u0648\u0631 \u06a9\u06cc\u0627 \u06c1\u06d2\u06d4 \u0635\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u06cc\u06a9 soft jobs \u0631\u067e\u0648\u0631\u0679 \u0634\u0627\u06cc\u062f <b>USD<\/b> \u06a9\u06cc \u0627\u0646\u062a\u06c1\u0627\u0626\u06cc bullish picture \u06a9\u0648 \u0646\u06c1 \u0628\u062f\u0644 \u0633\u06a9\u06d2\u060c \u0644\u06cc\u06a9\u0646 \u06cc\u06c1 \u0627\u06cc\u06a9 range \u0628\u0646\u0646\u06d2 \u06a9\u06cc \u0628\u0646\u06cc\u0627\u062f \u0636\u0631\u0648\u0631 \u0628\u0646 \u0633\u06a9\u062a\u06cc \u06c1\u06d2\u06d4\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"579\" src=\"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/NFP-FS-1024x579.png\" alt=\"nfp fs\" class=\"wp-image-248\" title=\"Soft NFP and Dovish Waller Weigh on USD\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/NFP-FS-1024x579.png 1024w, https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/NFP-FS-300x170.png 300w, https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/NFP-FS-768x434.png 768w, https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/NFP-FS.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>June NFP print 57k vs 114k forecast, plus 43k downward revision, flipping the recent upside surprise theme Conclusion Soft labor data and dovish Fed comments have weakened the USD significantly.Only one soft job strength won&#8217;t be able to change the extremely bullish picture of the USD, yet it might be the base of a range. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":248,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","community-forum":[20],"class_list":["post-247","community-post","type-community-post","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","community-forum-forum-usd"],"tpgb_featured_images":{"full":["https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/NFP-FS.png",1200,678,false],"tp-image-grid":["https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/NFP-FS.png",700,396,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/NFP-FS-150x150.png",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/NFP-FS-300x170.png",300,170,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/NFP-FS-768x434.png",768,434,true],"large":["https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/NFP-FS-1024x579.png",1024,579,true],"default":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/plugins\/the-plus-addons-for-block-editor\/assets\/images\/tpgb-placeholder.jpg"},"tpgb_post_meta_info":{"get_date":"July 3, 2026","get_modified_date":"July 3, 2026","category_list":{"community-forum":[{"term_id":20,"name":"Forum: USD","slug":"forum-usd","term_group":0,"term_taxonomy_id":20,"taxonomy":"community-forum","description":"This forum group is created for the space: USD","parent":0,"count":7,"filter":"raw"}]},"author_name":"ForexSource","author_url":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/author\/adnanark786\/","author_email":"addy.rehman.uae@gmail.com","author_website":"https:\/\/forexsource.net","author_description":"","author_facebook":"","author_twitter":"","author_instagram":"","author_role":["administrator","suredash_user"],"author_firstname":"","author_lastname":"","user_login":"adnanark786","author_avatar":"<img alt='' src='https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0afa10a7afb700f87ef8bf2310743ae5c1cd39944a8b8625d9af3a5c1c800ce9?s=200&#038;d=mm&#038;r=g' srcset='https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0afa10a7afb700f87ef8bf2310743ae5c1cd39944a8b8625d9af3a5c1c800ce9?s=400&#038;d=mm&#038;r=g 2x' class='avatar avatar-200 photo' height='200' width='200' loading='lazy' decoding='async'\/>","author_avatar_url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0afa10a7afb700f87ef8bf2310743ae5c1cd39944a8b8625d9af3a5c1c800ce9?s=96&d=mm&r=g","comment_count":0,"post_likes":0,"post_views":0},"tpgb_post_category":{"community-forum":"<a href=\"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/community-forum\/forum-usd\/\" alt=\"Forum: USD\"  class=\"community-forum-forum-usd\">Forum: USD<\/a> "},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/community-post\/247","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/community-post"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/community-post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=247"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/248"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"community-forum","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/community-forum?post=247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}