{"id":320,"date":"2026-07-19T10:52:09","date_gmt":"2026-07-19T05:52:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/?post_type=community-post&#038;p=320"},"modified":"2026-07-19T11:01:34","modified_gmt":"2026-07-19T06:01:34","slug":"ecb-meeting-probably-wont-help-the-euro-much","status":"publish","type":"community-post","link":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/community-post\/ecb-meeting-probably-wont-help-the-euro-much\/","title":{"rendered":"ECB meeting probably won\u2019t help the euro much."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EUR\/USD Weekly Forecast Summary<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The EUR\/USD pair remains under bearish pressure, trading around 1.1450. The outlook is dominated by geopolitical instability rather than monetary policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Key Drivers:<\/strong>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Middle East Conflict:<\/strong> Escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz are driving up oil prices and fueling inflationary concerns, overshadowing recent positive US economic data.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>ECB Outlook:<\/strong> The upcoming European Central Bank meeting is unlikely to boost the Euro, as markets are focused on the war&#8217;s impact on the economy.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>US Data:<\/strong> While US inflation (CPI\/PPI) has cooled, reducing immediate Fed rate hike expectations, the geopolitical &#8220;red flag&#8221; keeps the market cautious.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Technical Outlook:<\/strong>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Trend:<\/strong> Bearish. The pair is trading below key moving averages (100-day and 200-day SMAs).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support:<\/strong> Immediate support is at 1.1414 (20-day SMA); a break below could lead to 1.1324 and 1.1200.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resistance:<\/strong> Initial resistance is at 1.1470, followed by 1.1585.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/Forexsource.net\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"Forexsource.net\">Forexsource.net<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Eur-FS-2-1024x576.png\" alt=\"EURUSD bearish forecast\" class=\"wp-image-321\" title=\"ECB meeting probably won\u2019t help the euro much.\" srcset=\"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Eur-FS-2-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Eur-FS-2-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Eur-FS-2-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Eur-FS-2-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Eur-FS-2.png 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">EURUSD bearish forecast <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary>Urdu<\/summary>\n<div dir=\"rtl\" class=\"jameel-font\" style=\"text-align: right;\">\n\u06cc\u0648\u0631\u0648 \u0627\u0648\u0631 \u0688\u0627\u0644\u0631 \u06a9\u06d2 \u062c\u0648\u0691\u06d2 \u06a9\u0627 \u06c1\u0641\u062a\u06c1 \u0648\u0627\u0631 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0635\u06c1\n<br><br>\n\u2022 \u0627\u0633 \u0648\u0642\u062a EUR\/USD \u062c\u0648\u0691\u0627 bearish \u062f\u0628\u0627\u0624 \u0645\u06cc\u06ba \u06c1\u06d2 \u0627\u0648\u0631 \u062a\u0642\u0631\u06cc\u0628\u0627\u064b 1.1450 \u06a9\u06d2 \u0622\u0633 \u067e\u0627\u0633 \u0679\u0631\u06cc\u0688 \u06a9\u0631 \u0631\u06c1\u0627 \u06c1\u06d2\u06d4 \u0627\u0628\u06be\u06cc \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u06cc \u0645\u0646\u0638\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u06c1 monetary policy \u0633\u06d2 \u0632\u06cc\u0627\u062f\u06c1 geopolitical \u0628\u06d2 \u06cc\u0642\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u06a9\u06d2 \u0627\u062b\u0631 \u0645\u06cc\u06ba \u06c1\u06d2\u06d4\n<br><br>\n\u2022 \u0627\u06c1\u0645 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u06c1\u0627\u062a:\n<br><br>\n\u2022 Middle East conflict \u0645\u06cc\u06ba \u0628\u0691\u06be\u062a\u06cc \u06c1\u0648\u0626\u06cc \u06a9\u0634\u06cc\u062f\u06af\u06cc\u060c \u062e\u0627\u0635 \u0637\u0648\u0631 \u067e\u0631 Strait of Hormuz \u0645\u06cc\u06ba\u060c oil prices \u0627\u0648\u067e\u0631 \u0644\u06d2 \u062c\u0627 \u0631\u06c1\u06cc \u06c1\u06d2 \u0627\u0648\u0631 inflation \u06a9\u06d2 \u062e\u062f\u0634\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0691\u06be\u0627 \u0631\u06c1\u06cc \u06c1\u06d2\u06d4 \u0627\u0633\u06cc \u0648\u062c\u06c1 \u0633\u06d2 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u06cc\u06c1 \u0645\u062b\u0628\u062a US economic data \u0628\u06be\u06cc \u067e\u0633 \u0645\u0646\u0638\u0631 \u0645\u06cc\u06ba \u0686\u0644\u0627 \u06af\u06cc\u0627 \u06c1\u06d2\u06d4\n<br><br>\n\u2022 \u0622\u0646\u06d2 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u06cc ECB meeting \u0633\u06d2 Euro \u06a9\u0648 \u062e\u0627\u0635 \u0633\u06c1\u0627\u0631\u0627 \u0645\u0644\u0646\u06d2 \u06a9\u0627 \u0627\u0645\u06a9\u0627\u0646 \u06a9\u0645 \u06c1\u06d2\u060c \u06a9\u06cc\u0648\u0646\u06a9\u06c1 \u0645\u0627\u0631\u06a9\u06cc\u0679 \u06a9\u06cc \u0632\u06cc\u0627\u062f\u06c1 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u06c1 \u062c\u0646\u06af \u06a9\u06d2 economy \u067e\u0631 \u0627\u062b\u0631\u0627\u062a \u067e\u0631 \u06c1\u06d2\u06d4\n<br><br>\n\u2022 US data \u0645\u06cc\u06ba inflation \u06cc\u0639\u0646\u06cc CPI\/PPI \u06a9\u0686\u06be \u0679\u06be\u0646\u0688\u06cc \u06c1\u0648\u0626\u06cc \u06c1\u06d2\u060c \u062c\u0633 \u0633\u06d2 \u0641\u0648\u0631\u06cc Fed rate hike \u06a9\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0627\u062a \u06a9\u0645 \u06c1\u0648\u0626\u06cc \u06c1\u06cc\u06ba\u060c \u0644\u06cc\u06a9\u0646 geopolitical &#8220;red flag&#8221; \u06a9\u06cc \u0648\u062c\u06c1 \u0633\u06d2 \u0645\u0627\u0631\u06a9\u06cc\u0679 \u0627\u0628 \u0628\u06be\u06cc \u0645\u062d\u062a\u0627\u0637 \u06c1\u06d2\u06d4\n<br><br>\n\u2022 \u062a\u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u06a9\u06cc \u0635\u0648\u0631\u062a\u062d\u0627\u0644:\n<br><br>\n\u2022 \u0631\u062c\u062d\u0627\u0646 bearish \u06c1\u06d2\u06d4 \u06cc\u06c1 \u062c\u0648\u0691\u0627 \u0627\u06c1\u0645 moving averages \u06cc\u0639\u0646\u06cc 100-day \u0627\u0648\u0631 200-day SMAs \u0633\u06d2 \u0646\u06cc\u0686\u06d2 \u0679\u0631\u06cc\u0688 \u06a9\u0631 \u0631\u06c1\u0627 \u06c1\u06d2\u06d4\n<br><br>\n\u2022 support \u06a9\u06cc \u067e\u06c1\u0644\u06cc \u0633\u0637\u062d 1.1414 \u06c1\u06d2\u060c \u062c\u0648 20-day SMA \u0628\u06be\u06cc \u06c1\u06d2\u06d4 \u0627\u06af\u0631 \u06cc\u06c1 \u0633\u0637\u062d \u0679\u0648\u0679 \u06af\u0626\u06cc \u062a\u0648 \u067e\u06be\u0631 1.1324 \u0627\u0648\u0631 1.1200 \u062a\u06a9 \u062c\u0627\u0646\u06d2 \u06a9\u0627 \u0627\u0645\u06a9\u0627\u0646 \u06c1\u06d2\u06d4\n<br><br>\n\u2022 resistance \u06a9\u06cc \u067e\u06c1\u0644\u06cc \u0633\u0637\u062d 1.1470 \u06c1\u06d2\u060c \u0627\u0633 \u06a9\u06d2 \u0628\u0639\u062f 1.1585 \u0622\u062a\u06cc \u06c1\u06d2\u06d4\n<\/div>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD Weekly Forecast Summary The EUR\/USD pair remains under bearish pressure, trading around 1.1450. The outlook is dominated by geopolitical instability rather than monetary policy. Forexsource.net<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":321,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","community-forum":[8],"class_list":["post-320","community-post","type-community-post","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","community-forum-forum-eur"],"tpgb_featured_images":{"full":["https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Eur-FS-2.png",1920,1080,false],"tp-image-grid":["https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Eur-FS-2.png",700,394,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Eur-FS-2-150x150.png",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Eur-FS-2-300x169.png",300,169,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Eur-FS-2-768x432.png",768,432,true],"large":["https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Eur-FS-2-1024x576.png",1024,576,true],"default":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-content\/plugins\/the-plus-addons-for-block-editor\/assets\/images\/tpgb-placeholder.jpg"},"tpgb_post_meta_info":{"get_date":"July 19, 2026","get_modified_date":"July 19, 2026","category_list":{"community-forum":[{"term_id":8,"name":"Forum: EUR","slug":"forum-eur","term_group":0,"term_taxonomy_id":8,"taxonomy":"community-forum","description":"This forum group is created for the space: EUR","parent":0,"count":16,"filter":"raw"}]},"author_name":"ForexSource","author_url":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/author\/adnanark786\/","author_email":"addy.rehman.uae@gmail.com","author_website":"https:\/\/forexsource.net","author_description":"","author_facebook":"","author_twitter":"","author_instagram":"","author_role":["administrator","suredash_user"],"author_firstname":"","author_lastname":"","user_login":"adnanark786","author_avatar":"<img alt='' src='https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0afa10a7afb700f87ef8bf2310743ae5c1cd39944a8b8625d9af3a5c1c800ce9?s=200&#038;d=mm&#038;r=g' srcset='https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0afa10a7afb700f87ef8bf2310743ae5c1cd39944a8b8625d9af3a5c1c800ce9?s=400&#038;d=mm&#038;r=g 2x' class='avatar avatar-200 photo' height='200' width='200' loading='lazy' decoding='async'\/>","author_avatar_url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/0afa10a7afb700f87ef8bf2310743ae5c1cd39944a8b8625d9af3a5c1c800ce9?s=96&d=mm&r=g","comment_count":0,"post_likes":0,"post_views":0},"tpgb_post_category":{"community-forum":"<a href=\"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/community-forum\/forum-eur\/\" alt=\"Forum: EUR\"  class=\"community-forum-forum-eur\">Forum: EUR<\/a> "},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/community-post\/320","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/community-post"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/community-post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=320"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/321"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=320"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"community-forum","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forexsource.net\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/community-forum?post=320"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}