CPI

U.S. Headline CPI Price Index YoY

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Understanding the indicator

U.S. Headline CPI Price Index YoY

CPI data is released with a one-month lag. For example, a September release reports August data.

Higher inflation can lift interest rates and strengthen the currency, but in recession, rising inflation may worsen the downturn and weaken the currency.

Higher-than-forecast CPI is bullish for the currency; lower-than-forecast CPI is bearish. Positive revisions strengthen the bullish signal, while negative revisions strengthen the bearish signal.