FX Dashboard
| Currency | Bias | GDP | Un-Emp Rate | Interest Rate | CPI YoY | Real Interest Rate | Futures | Futures Bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD | Neutral | 0.30% | 4.50% | 4.35% | 4.20% | 0.15% | 6A | Mild Bearish |
| CAD | Bearish | 0.00% | 6.60% | 2.25% | 2.80% | -0.55% | 6C | Very Bearish |
| CHF | Bullish | 0.70% | 3.00% | 0.00% | 0.60% | -0.60% | 6S | Bearish |
| EUR | Bearish | -0.20% | 6.30% | 2.40% | 3.20% | -0.80% | 6E | Bearish |
| GBP | Neutral | 0.60% | 4.90% | 3.75% | 2.80% | 0.95% | 6B | Mild Bearish |
| JPY | Bullish | 0.50% | 2.50% | 1.00% | 1.50% | -0.50% | 6J | Bearish |
| NZD | Neutral | 0.80% | 5.30% | 2.25% | 3.10% | -0.85% | 6N | Mild Bearish |
| USD | Bullish | 1.60% | 4.30% | 3.75% | 4.20% | -0.45% | DXY | Very Bullish |
News Events
| Date | News | Currency | Sentiment | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 26 | WTI crude advances near 102.50 dollars as rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensify concerns over potential supply disruptions in global energy markets. | USD | Positive | Other |
| May 1, 26 | The Japanese yen surged following signals of potential official intervention, as authorities indicated readiness to act after the currency slid to its weakest level since mid 2024. | JPY | Positive | BoJ |
| May 1, 26 | UK March M4 money supply increased by 0.8% month over month, exceeding market expectations of a 0.5% rise and signaling stronger-than-anticipated liquidity growth within the economy. | GBP | Positive | Other |
| May 1, 26 | April’s ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid index in the United States climbed to 84.6, surpassing expectations of 80, highlighting intensifying cost pressures across the manufacturing sector. | USD | Negative | Inflation |
| May 5, 26 | Australia’s central bank increased its benchmark rate to 4.35% in an 8–1 decision, signaling additional hikes toward 4.7% by late 2026 as persistent inflation supports a prolonged restrictive stance. | AUD | Positive | RBA |
| May 5, 26 | Canada unexpectedly recorded a C$1.78 billion merchandise trade surplus in March, defying projections that had pointed to a C$2.8 billion shortfall and signaling stronger external demand conditions. | CAD | Positive | Other |
| May 5, 26 | The U.S. ISM Services PMI for April edged lower to 53.6, falling just short of the 53.7 forecast, signaling a modest slowdown in service sector expansion. | USD | Negative | PMI |
| May 5, 26 | New Zealand’s first quarter employment increased by 0.2%, falling short of the anticipated 0.3% gain, indicating a softer labor market performance than economists had projected. | NZD | Negative | Jobs |
| May 5, 26 | New Zealand’s unemployment rate fell to 5.3% in the first quarter, outperforming expectations, though analysts warn labour market impacts from Middle East tensions may surface within the coming year. | NZD | Positive | Jobs |
| May 6, 26 | India’s services sector showed marginal improvement in April, with the HSBC Services PMI ticking higher to 58.0 compared to the prior reading of 57.9, indicating sustained expansion. | USD | Positive | PMI |
| May 6, 26 | UK services sector activity strengthened in April, with the S&P Global PMI climbing to 52.7, surpassing expectations of 52.0 and signaling continued expansion in business conditions. | GBP | Positive | PMI |
| May 6, 26 | Private sector employment in the United States increased by 109,000 positions in April, surpassing expectations of a 99,000 gain and indicating resilient labor market momentum. | USD | Positive | Jobs |
| May 7, 26 | Australia’s March trade balance unexpectedly fell into a A$1.84 billion deficit, sharply undershooting forecasts that had anticipated a A$4.25 billion surplus. | AUD | Neutral | Other |
| Jun 8, 26 | Japan’s first quarter growth estimate was reduced to 1.8% annualized as softer corporate investment outweighed improved consumption and trade, with quarterly expansion slightly revised lower to 0.45%. | JPY | Negative | GDP |
| Jun 8, 26 | Germany’s April factory orders fell sharply on an annual basis, contracting 3.8% after previously recording a robust 6.3% expansion, signaling a notable reversal in industrial demand momentum. | EUR | Negative | Other |
| Jun 8, 26 | Eurozone investor sentiment strengthened in June, with the Sentix index climbing to -13.4 from -16.4, reflecting a moderation in pessimism and a slightly brighter outlook among market participants. | EUR | Positive | Other |
| Jun 8, 26 | The Indian rupee remains supported by steady foreign capital inflows and active intervention from the Reserve Bank of India, reinforcing currency stability amid shifting global market conditions. | USD | Positive | Other |
| Jun 9, 26 | China’s exports climbed 19.4% in May from a year earlier, significantly exceeding the anticipated 15% increase and signaling stronger external demand momentum. | USD | Positive | Other |
| Jun 9, 26 | Germany’s industrial production rose by 0.4% in April compared to the previous month, aligning precisely with market expectations and signaling stable momentum in the manufacturing sector. | EUR | Positive | GDP |
| Jun 9, 26 | The Australian Dollar advances as easing geopolitical concerns and encouraging economic figures from China improve overall market confidence and boost demand for risk-sensitive currencies. | AUD | Positive | Other |
| Jun 9, 26 | Mexico’s headline inflation eased more than forecast, reinforcing expectations of continued softness in the peso, with the currency likely to face ongoing, though limited, downward pressure. | USD | Negative | Inflation |
| Jun 9, 26 | Canada posted a wider trade surplus in April as exports climbed 1.6 percent month over month, fueled by a sharp 9.7 percent jump in energy shipments, particularly crude oil, amid firmer global prices. | CAD | Positive | Other |
| Jun 10, 26 | The Canadian dollar may remain under pressure versus the US dollar as the Bank of Canada maintains its current policy stance, increasing the risk of additional downside in the near term. | CAD | Negative | BoC |
| Jun 10, 26 | US core consumer prices rose 0.2% in May, falling short of the 0.3% projection, indicating a modest easing in underlying inflation momentum compared with market expectations. | USD | Negative | Inflation |
| Jun 11, 26 | WTI crude advances near 89.50 dollars as renewed US military action against assets tied to Iran heightens geopolitical tensions, supporting oil prices on concerns over potential supply disruptions. | USD | Negative | Other |
| Jun 11, 26 | The euro holds firm as investors increasingly anticipate that the European Central Bank will implement an interest rate increase at its June policy meeting, reinforcing underlying support for the currency. | EUR | Positive | ECB |
| Jun 11, 26 | Ireland’s harmonized consumer prices fell 0.2% in May from the previous month, exceeding expectations for a milder 0.1% decline and signaling softer near term inflation pressures. | EUR | Negative | Inflation |
| Jun 11, 26 | The European Central Bank increased rates by 25 basis points, cautioning that escalating Middle East tensions could intensify inflationary pressures and weaken regional growth, reinforcing the case for sustained monetary tightening. | EUR | Negative | ECB |
| Jun 11, 26 | Initial unemployment claims in the United States climbed to 229K for the week ending June 5, exceeding market expectations of 219K and signaling a modest uptick in layoffs. | USD | Negative | Jobs |
| Jun 12, 26 | Global markets advanced after indications of a potential US-Iran agreement reduced geopolitical risk, driving oil sharply lower and boosting equities, yields, and risk-sensitive currencies. | USD | Positive | Trump |
| Jun 12, 26 | Britain’s economy shrank by 0.1% in April compared with the previous month, aligning with market expectations and signaling a modest pullback in overall economic activity. | GBP | Negative | GDP |
| Jun 12, 26 | Sterling ticked up even after data showed the UK economy shrank by 0.1% in April, signaling mild contraction but limited immediate downside pressure on the currency. | GBP | Positive | GDP |
| Jun 12, 26 | Spain’s annual consumer inflation remained unchanged in May, rising 3.2% compared to a year earlier, aligning precisely with market forecasts and signaling stable price pressures within the economy. | EUR | Neutral | Inflation |
| Jun 15, 26 | Eurozone industrial production edged up 0.1% in April, falling short of the projected 0.3% increase, pointing to weaker manufacturing activity and slower momentum across the bloc’s industrial sector. | EUR | Negative | Other |
| Jun 15, 26 | The euro area recorded a 1.0 billion euro trade deficit in April, reversing March’s 4.9 billion surplus, as higher energy import costs pushed the region’s external balance back into negative territory. | EUR | Negative | Other |
| Jun 15, 26 | Sterling posted modest gains against the dollar after the United States and Iran indicated a tentative accord aimed at easing tensions and restoring access through the Strait of Hormuz. | GBP | Positive | Other |
| Jun 15, 26 | The US Dollar retreated as improving risk sentiment supported the Euro and Pound after Washington and Tehran agreed on a peace framework, easing energy supply concerns and pressuring oil prices lower. | USD | Negative | Other |
| Jun 16, 26 | The Japanese yen advanced following the Bank of Japan’s decision to increase its policy rate, with the currency maintaining gains as markets reacted positively to the tightening move. | JPY | Positive | Interest Rates |
| Jun 16, 26 | Crude benchmarks hovered near key support, with WTI around $80 and Brent easing, as easing US–Iran tensions reduced risk premiums while Strait of Hormuz shipping disruptions limited further downside. | USD | Negative | Other |
| Jun 16, 26 | Japan raised interest rates to their highest since 1995, marking a decisive shift as officials confront stubborn inflation and gradually retreat from decades of ultra-accommodative policy. | JPY | Positive | BoJ |
| Jun 16, 26 | Germany’s June ZEW current conditions gauge dropped to -81, below the expected -77.5, reflecting a sharper deterioration in sentiment regarding the nation’s present economic environment. | EUR | Negative | Other |
| Jun 16, 26 | The Australian dollar remains under pressure after the central bank opted to keep interest rates unchanged, maintaining prevailing downside risks and limiting prospects for near term currency strength. | AUD | Negative | RBA |
| Jun 16, 26 | US housing starts declined to 1.177 million in May, well below the 1.43 million forecast, pointing to weakening activity and reduced momentum across the residential construction sector. | USD | Negative | Other |
| Jun 17, 26 | Japan’s imports increased 12.5% in May compared to a year earlier, falling just short of market expectations that had projected a 12.8% annual rise. | JPY | Negative | Other |
| Jun 17, 26 | The US dollar edged lower as investors held back before the Federal Reserve’s initial rate decision under its new leadership, while easing geopolitical tensions reduced safe-haven demand and limited market volatility. | USD | Neutral | Fed |
| Jun 17, 26 | Britain’s Retail Price Index climbed 3.1% year over year in May, slightly accelerating from the prior 3.0% reading, signaling persistent upward pressure on consumer prices. | GBP | Positive | Inflation |
| Jun 17, 26 | Eurozone core consumer prices accelerated in May, rising 2.6% annually and edging above market expectations of 2.5%, signaling persistent underlying price pressures across the bloc. | EUR | Positive | Inflation |
| Jun 17, 26 | US retail sales increased by 0.9 percent in May compared with the previous month, signaling stronger consumer spending and suggesting resilience in overall economic activity. | USD | Positive | Other |
| Jun 17, 26 | The dollar strengthened after policymakers left rates unchanged while indicating a possible additional increase this year, reinforcing a firmer inflation stance and reshaping market expectations for upcoming policy decisions. | USD | Positive | Fed |
| Jun 17, 26 | The yen weakened significantly after the Federal Reserve signaled that borrowing costs may stay elevated for an extended period, increasing the monetary policy divergence with Japan’s central bank. | JPY | Negative | Fed |
| Jun 18, 26 | New Zealand’s economy expanded 0.8% quarter over quarter in Q1 2026, matching expectations and accelerating from 0.5%, supported by manufacturing and improved per capita output. | NZD | Positive | GDP |
| Jun 18, 26 | The Swiss Franc continues to face downside pressure as the central bank’s neutral policy approach dampens demand, limiting bullish momentum and leaving the currency vulnerable in current market conditions. | CHF | Negative | SNB |
| Jun 18, 26 | Weekly U.S. unemployment claims rose marginally to 226K, slightly above the projected 225K for the period ending June 12, signaling a modest uptick in new filings. | USD | Negative | Jobs |
| Jun 18, 26 | New Zealand recorded a NZ$800 million trade surplus in May, falling short of the projected NZ$875 million, indicating softer external performance than anticipated by market participants. | NZD | Negative | Other |
| Jun 19, 26 | The yen hovers near four decade lows despite currency intervention and an unexpected rate increase by the central bank, as expansive fiscal spending weakens sentiment and rising inflation pressures persist. | JPY | Negative | BoJ |
| Jun 19, 26 | Britain’s retail sales climbed 1.2% in May, exceeding expectations and signaling resilient consumer demand, a development that could lend short term strength to the Pound in currency markets. | GBP | Positive | GDP |
| Jun 22, 26 | Sterling fell 0.2% to 1.321 against the dollar as rising speculation over Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s possible departure unsettled investors, increasing political uncertainty and prompting discussion about potential leadership succession. | GBP | Negative | Other |
| Jun 22, 26 | Canada’s core consumer inflation climbed to 2.2% year over year in May, up from 2.1%, indicating slightly stronger price pressures before upcoming Bank of Canada decisions. | CAD | Positive | Inflation |
