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Seasonality
NewsActualForecastPreviousMinMax
NFP (K)80K57K10K140K
Unemployment Rate4.20%4.20%4.30%4.30%
Average Hourly Earnings YoY3.50%3.50%3.40%3.60%
Average Hourly Earnings MoM0.30%0.30%0.20%0.30%
Comments on NFP
Fed officials said the unemployment rate remains the key job-market gauge, now near full employment, while Daly expects no mass unemployment or major AI-driven job losses, supporting labor market stability.
Fed speakers say policy stays moderately restrictive to curb inflation while supporting jobs; unemployment remains low near full employment, Empire State jobs index eased to 8.3 from 9.8, and Iran conflict risks both inflation and unemployment.

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